Winter Storm Watch Issued: Confidence Grows

We are now with the 72 hour window where more accurate snow forecasts are coming together, and the Black Hills region will receive impacts


Winter Storm Watches have been issued for our region, let’s break down the expected impacts, so far. This is a developing forecast.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RAPID CITY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR RAPID CITY AND THE SURROUNDING PLAINS

  • Rapid City and the surrounding plains look to receive heavy rain, heavy snow and gusty winds from Wednesday morning into Thursday afternoon
  • This could lead to Blizzard-like conditions, particularly as you head East of the Hills with up to 45 mph winds
  • 6″+ of snow look at least possible, with both heavy pockets and dry pockets within this watch area

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RAPID CITY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR THE BLACK HILLS REGION

  • The impacts look to be a little different up in the Hills, where perhaps wind will be less of a factor, and more heavy snow.
  • Given the higher elevation, less rain and more snow could lead to higher snow totals, so 6″+ could end up being much more
  • Forecast guidance has hinted at some dry pockets on the Southwestern Side of the Black Hills, particularly the Newcastle Area. This will be worth monitoring over the next 24 hours to see if models shift focus to a different area

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RAPID CITY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR AREAS NORTH AND WEST OF THE BLACK HILLS, INCLUDING IN AREAS OF WYOMING

  • Areas North and West of the Black Hills look to receive perhaps less snow, but will be more susceptible to blowing snow
  • 35 mph winds and up to 4-6″ of snow look likely at this point. Given that we are still 48 hours out, these snow totals could shift, so stay alert to the forecast
  • EKALAKA, MONTANA AND CARTER COUNTY: You have just been included in the Winter Storm Watch, Snow, gusty winds and difficult travel conditions all are possible, with 6-12″ of snow.

  • Over the next 48 hours, showers will continue to increase with activity, along with a couple rumbles of thunder.
  • Once Wednesday morning hits, the exact time that cold air makes its way into the Black Hills region will determine A LOT about what our snow totals will exactly look like

  • Don’t take these totals as gospel, remember, we are only under a Winter Storm WATCH, not a Warning, which means the forecast still has time to adjust and shift focus
  • What we are confident about is regardless if you see rain or snow, the sheer volume of moisture that will move through the area could cause flooding issues, and difficult travel.
  • Stay Alert, as this is a changing forecast and will need adjusting through the next 24 hours.

Current Conditions

Hourly Forecast

Extended Forecast

Weather Resources

Rapid City - North

Rapid City - South

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Spearfish - East

Spearfish - West

Deadwood - East

Deadwood - West

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Hot Springs - Maverick Junction North

Hot Springs - Maverick Junction South

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South Dakota Road Conditions

National Road Conditions

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