Weekend Forecast Discussion: Has Storm Season Arrived?

Thunder boomed across the hills once again Thursday as Spring made a triumphant return, and there's evidence that we'll be seeing things heat up into next week as well.

The Black Hills are awakening, as we had our first real taste of Spring on Thursday.

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  • We’re looking at much of the same for Friday, with temperatures reaching the 40s and 50s, perhaps a few spots getting to the 60° mark.
  • Showers and a few thunderstorms will pop up this afternoon across the area, with some storm having small hail and gusty winds, much like yesterday.

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  • As we are missing a few key ingredients, we aren’t expecting severe weather, just a few strong thundershowers at best.
  • Downdrafts and passing showers could make things feel quite chilly, so may not be a bad idea to keep a sweatshirt or jacket handy if you’re needing to be out today.

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  • By this evening, we’ll dropping temperatures back into the 30s and 40s, with a few areas still seeing leftover thundershowers.
  • Most activity should dissipate overnight.

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  • Saturday is looking sunny and a little on the cooler side with temperatures in the 50s and 60s.
  • A few thundershowers will be possible in the afternoon, mostly for the far Eastern portions of our area and the Black Hills themselves.

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  • I’m going out on a wayward bet here on Sunday – most computer models don’t show any action for Sunday but with Southeasterly surface winds and plenty of sunshine and heat, It’s hard to rule out afternoon Thundershowers at the very least in the Black Hills.
  • Southeasterly winds, 60° dew points and plenty of sunshine is a surefire way to get afternoon thundershowers in the Black Hills – so far we’ll have at least 2 of those ingredients on Sunday.

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  • Monday looks drier and warmer, but Monday night will feature more expected thunderstorm activity.
  • This will precede Windy conditions for Tuesday – ushering in a stout ridge of high pressure.
  • I could easily see temperatures reaching the 70s and 80s by Thursday of next week, with more unsettled weather and thunderstorm activity likely for next weekend.
  • Have we turned a corner? It’s possible, the Polar jet seems to have all but disappeared from our radar in both the short and long term.
  • We’ll wait to see what May brings, but so far storm season looks to stick around.
  • Be safe out there! -Brant

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Categories: Local News, Weather Daily

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