Rain/Snow Mix Wednesday: Sunny conditions give way to small system mid-week
Varying conditions are expected across the region, with the higher elevations expecting light accumulations and the plains receiving possible freezing rain
- Things will start out cold in portions of the Hills, with some areas in the single digits this morning.
- A nice recovery is likely, particularly in the Eastern foothills as downsloping winds will bring warmer temperatures in the 40s, and maybe even 50s.
- This current temperatures map from 5:05 AM this morning illustrates the big swing in temperatures we’re seeing this morning – with 37° in Spearfish and 1° in Rapid City.
- This map will likely flip flop, with areas West of the Hills seeing the overall cooler temperatures.
- From this time yesterday, many places are seeing a 35°+ change – a welcome relief from these very cold temperatures and could be a sign of things to come
- Tuesday night into Wednesday a small system will move into our region as the jet stream crosses back through.
- A light mix is likely for most of us, with possible accumulations in the higher elevations of the Black Hills and a mix of sleet/freezing drizzle and rain for the Great Plains.
- Upslope enhancement could leave a nice band of 1″-3″… possibly higher accumulations in the Northern Hills, particularity the Bear Lodge mountains and the Cheyenne Crossing area.
- Although everyone else could see mostly rain, some of that could freeze in spots as the ground is still quite cold in some places.
- This could lead to slick roads Wednesday, but not expecting widespread impacts.
- Wednesday night things clear up just in time for Thursday, where temperatures recover back into the 40s, and 50s in some cases.
- Friday and Saturday will continue the mild trend, with dry conditions for Friday and isolated showers with mostly cloudy skies on Saturday.
I wouldn’t worry too much about Wednesday – It will be more of an annoyance than anything. Roads could get slick, particularly on bridges and overpasses but overall should pose little trouble to folks trying to get around. I’ll check forecast guidance models later today, and if things trend a little colder I’ll pay a little closer attention to it. Thursday and Friday will be nice, great days to get out and get a few things done. Perhaps a cloudy day Saturday with a few showers and drying conditions Sunday. Next potential “real” system is progged fror Tuesday and Wednesday of next week, otherwise mild conditions! I think we all could use the break honestly… Happy Tuesday! – Brant