11/6 Forecast Discussion: Southern Hills and Northern Clippers

Snow looks possible for areas in the Southern Hills Wednesday evening going into Thursday

GOES-16 Satellite, 11/6/2018 sunrise

Today: VOTE! VOTE! VOTE! Temperatures will struggle to reach the mid-30s for much of the area, with the higher elevations leaning towards the upper 20s for highs. Partly cloudy skies will be accompanied by gusty northwesterly winds this morning and afternoon, up to 45 mph. Wind chills could reach the mid-20s, to the teens in some locations. Grassland Fire Danger is also *Very High* today. Open burning is prohibited in Harding County, West Central Pennington County and almost all of Meade County.

WIND ADVISORY: Northwest winds 25-35 mph, with gusts up to 45 mph will make their way across northwest South Dakota and west central plains this morning going into the afternoon hours. The advisory will expire at 4 p.m.

Tonight: Winds will subside across the area, with partly cloudy conditions. Temperatures will dip into the upper teens for many areas, with frost being a distinct possibility. Be sure to give yourself extra time to defrost your vehicle or scrape ice if you have to travel early in the morning.

Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy skies in the morning will give way to partly cloudy skies, with highs in the mid-30s. 5-10 mph winds will shift from the northwest to the east. Campbell County and portions of northeast Wyoming could see light snow showers.

NAM Model for precipitation – Wednesday night into Thursday afternoon

Tomorrow Night: Along with temperatures in the teens, some models suggest light snowfall in the Southern Hills, while some suggest it misses us completely and skips into northern Nebraska. This particular model, the NAM, has a brief snow maker move through the area. Should the Southern Hills receive snowfall, most if not all will have the ability to stick to paved surfaces, given the cold nights we are experiencing. As of right now, a light dusting to perhaps an inch or two are on my radar as a possibility for places like Oglala Lakota, Custer and Fall River counties, with cities like Custer, Hill City, Keystone, Pine Ridge and Edgemont with the highest likelihood of seeing anything.

Thursday and Beyond: Any precipitation that does manage to impact our area should be ending quickly by Thursday morning and afternoon. Temperatures will struggle to reach the freezing mark, low 30s for the plains and mid-20s for the hills. Dry, partly cloudy conditions will persist going into the weekend, with southerly winds bringing temporary relief on Saturday where highs could reach the low to even mid-40s. Veterans Day looks to remain dry, albeit a bit cooler. Watching a possible snow maker for the beginning of next week, with temperatures continuing to stay below freezing overnight.

Rapid City Sunrise 11/6/2018 – Thanks Kelly!

Categories: Local News, Weather Daily